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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sun Oct 4 2026
For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Southwestern Gulf of America:
An area of low pressure is likely to form around the middle of the week over the southwestern Gulf of America.
Although environmental conditions are expected to be only marginally conducive, some slow development is possible, and a tropical depression could form late this week while the system drifts northward.
- Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
- Formation chance through 7 days…medium…40 percent.
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