Dale C. S. Destin | @268Weather : The island‑average rainfall outlook for 2026 continues to show a strong and persistent signal for drier‑than‑normal conditions. This is likely to be among the top 10 driest years on record. Drought conditions remain virtually certain to continue.
Forecast Details
The latest forecast is unchanged from the last one: a 95% chance of below‑normal rainfall for the year, compared with only a 4% chance of near‑normal totals and a 1% chance of above‑normal amounts.
This year, from this vantage point, the best rainfall forecast (estimate) is 774 mm (30.5 in) with a 70 percent confidence that it ranges between 649 and 914 mm (25.6 to 36.0 in). The rainfall total forecast falls in the below-normal range for the island.
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