National Hurricane Center (NHC) – In the center of the Tropical Atlantic: Downpour activity associated with an elongated area of low pressure over the center of the tropical Atlantic Ocean gets a little better organized since yesterday.
Environmental conditions are forecasted to be generally favorable for additional gradual development over the next few days and a tropical depression could form by mid next week as it moves west-northwest between 10 and 15 mph towards the waters east of the Underwind Islands.
It has a low (20 percent) chance of formation in the next 48 hours and a medium (50 percent) chance of forming in the next 5 days.
In the Central Atlantic: Downpour activity is showing signs of organization in association with a small area of low pressure located about 600 miles east of Bermuda. Some slow development of this system could occur over the next two to three days as the low moves over the central Atlantic.
Then conditions are expected to become less conducive for development. It has a low (10 percent) chance of formation in the next 48 hours and a low (20 percent) chance of forming in the next 5 days.
In the Northwest Caribbean Sea: A low-pressure downpour could develop over the northwest Caribbean Sea during the early to mid next week. Environmental conditions could contribute to some slow development of this system as it moves generally toward west northwest over the northwest Caribbean Sea and toward the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico.
It has an almost zero chance of formation in the next 48 hours and a low chance (20 percent) in the next 5 days.
East Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa early next week. Some gradual development of this system is possible through mid-next week as it moves generally westward across the far east of the tropical Atlantic.
It has an almost zero chance of formation in the next 48 hours and a low chance (20 percent) in the next 5 days.
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