𝗝𝗢𝗜𝗡 𝗢𝗨𝗥 𝗪𝗛𝗔𝗧𝗦𝗔𝗣𝗣 𝗖𝗛𝗔𝗡𝗡𝗘𝗟! 𝗖𝗟𝗜𝗖𝗞 𝗢𝗡 𝗧𝗛𝗘 𝗟𝗜𝗡𝗞: https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VaN7nmQGOj9na4QhBa12
Dale C. S. Destin: The island-average rainfall outlook for this year shows a strong and clear signal toward drier‑than‑normal conditions, i.e., drought conditions.
The latest forecast indicates a 69% chance of below‑normal rainfall, compared with a 22% chance of near‑normal totals and only a 9% chance of above‑normal amounts.
In short, the guidance points to a moderate likelihood of a drier-than-normal dry season: January to June, and a high likelihood of a drier-than-normal wet season: July to December.
Forecast Details
This year, from this vantage point, the best rainfall forecast (estimate) is 904 mm (35.6 in) with a 70 percent confidence that it ranges between 690 and 1161 mm (27.2 to 45.7 in).
The rainfall total forecast falls in the below-normal range for the island. The rainfall could rank in the bottom 5 lowest on record or at best, near normal. It is highly unlikely for the above normal or to exceed 1218 mm (50 in).
Read More: https://268weather.wordpress.com/2026/05/02/early-2026-rainfall-forecast-drought-to-prevail/
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