𝗝𝗢𝗜𝗡 𝗢𝗨𝗥 𝗪𝗛𝗔𝗧𝗦𝗔𝗣𝗣 𝗖𝗛𝗔𝗡𝗡𝗘𝗟! 𝗖𝗟𝗜𝗖𝗞 𝗢𝗡 𝗧𝗛𝗘 𝗟𝗜𝗡𝗞: https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VaN7nmQGOj9na4QhBa12

WOCA31 TAPA
TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION STATEMENT
ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE
9:45 AM ECT SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 06, 2025

…Tropical disturbance has weakened…formation chance is low…keep monitoring…

The Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Service continues to monitor the progress of tropical disturbance AL91 located over the central tropical north Atlantic ocean.

The system has weakened and now only has a low chance of Formation as it moves toward the Caribbean. It is now unlikely that AL91 will form and impact the region.

The system continues to weaken, with many of the more reliable models dropping it as a disturbance or pulling back on its potential formation. Further, environmental conditions appear only marginally favourable for development.

The risk of hazards from this disturbance is very low, at this time. Notwithstanding, interests in the eastern Caribbean, including the Leeward Islands and the British Virgin Islands, should continue to monitor the progress of this disturbance.

To be safe, residents are reminded to remain prepared for the remainder of the hurricane season. At 8 am ECT or 1200 UTC, tropical disturbance AL91 was centred about 1473 miles east-southeast of Antigua and Barbuda and the Leeward Islands, moving west at around 10 mph.

Maximum sustained winds are near 25 mph with higher gusts. Formation chance through 48 hours is low at 30 percent, and formation chance over seven days is also low at 30 percent.

This means development in the next 48 hours or the next seven days is unlikely, although not impossible. Please note that there are no tropical cyclone alerts, watches or warnings in effect for the area, and it is unlikely any will be required for this system.

The next update will be around 2 pm tomorrow, or sooner if required.

Forecaster Dale Destin

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