safety steps

WHCA31 TAPA
TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION STATEMENT
ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE
8:00 AM ECT TUESDAY JULY 30, 2024

…TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TO AFFECT THE AREA…

The Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Service continues to actively follow the progress of a tropical disturbance. The system could pass near or over the Leeward Islands and the British Virgin Islands as a strong and active tropical wave on Wednesday.

The disturbance, which could become al97, is not expected to become a Tropical Storm or hurricane before reaching the northeast Caribbean.

Hence, the system poses little to no threat to the Leeward Islands and the British Virgin Islands. The risk of wind, rainfall or seas is very low, so no action is required.

At 8 am ECT or 1200 UTC, a tropical disturbance was located about 720 miles east of the Leeward islands moving west-northwest at around 12 mph.

Maximum sustained winds are less than 25 mph with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast mainly after the system passes the area.

There is a near zero percent chance of formation in 48 hours and a 60 percent chance of Formation in seven days.

Based on the latest information, except for lightning, no hazards from this system are anticipated; however, some heavy rainfall is expected Wednesday and parts of Thursday but accumulations will, at most, result in minimal or minor flooding. Possible rainfall total is 25 to 50 mm or 1 to 2 inches.

Please note that no alerts, watches or warnings are in effect for the area and none is required. Residents should continue to monitor the disturbance and ensure their hurricane season plans are in order.

The next update will be around 8 am tomorrow, or sooner if required.

Forecaster Dale Destin