1. Southwestern Atlantic Ocean (AL96): Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles east of the southeastern Bahamas continue to show signs of organization.

A short-lived tropical depression or storm is likely to form later today or tonight while the system moves west-northwestward.
By Tuesday, however, strong upper-level winds and dry air should end the chances of further development. An Air Force reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system later today.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…high…70 percent.

2. Southwestern Caribbean Sea: A broad area of low pressure could form in a few days over the central or southwestern Caribbean Sea.
Gradual development thereafter is possible while the system moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…20 percent.







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