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WHCA31 TAPA
TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION STATEMENT
ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES
11:30 AM ECT MONDAY SEP 25 2023

…Tropical Storm Philippe to Resume a Path Away from the Islands…

The Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Services continues to follow the progress of Tropical Storm Philippe (fee-leep). Confidence remains relatively high that Tropical Storm Philippe is on a path that will take it a safe distance away from the caribbean.

At the reasonable worst-case scenario, the system poses little to no wind threat to the area. However, there is a moderate threat of above-normal swells, which have the potential to cause significant impacts and life-threatening nearshore conditions.

At 11 am ECT or 1500 UTC, the centre of Tropical Storm Philippe was located near latitude 17.3 north, longitude 45.5 west or about 1068 miles east of the Leeward Islands moving west at 13 mph. A turn to the west-northwest is expected to resume by tonight, and a northwestward motion is forecast to occur in a couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph with higher gusts. Little net change in strength is forecast during the next few days. Based on the forecast model tracks, the centre of Tropical Storm Philippe is expected to turn away from the area.

No hazardous winds are forecast to reach any of the islands, but above-normal swells are expected. No tropical cyclone alerts, watches or warnings are in effect, at this time; however, an alert is possible, if the system were to track south of the forecast path.

Residents should continue to monitor Tropical Storm Philippe. All are also strongly encouraged to stay prepared for the rest of the hurricane season. An update will be given by 12 pm tomorrow, or sooner, if required.

Forecaster: Dale Destin