Dale C. S. Destin – Published 26 June 2023 | Introduction – As we progress through the final week of the first month of the Atlantic hurricane season, 268Weather has released its updated forecast for the 2023 season.
The forecast continues to call for this year’s hurricane season to be above normal with the potential for hyperactivity. The main factor contributing to this projection is the expectation of warmer-than-normal sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the tropical North Atlantic Ocean.
The forecast covers the full season from June to November and is based on data available through June 23, 2023.
Forecast Details
The forecast predicts:
- 18 named storms or a range of 14 to 24
- 8 hurricanes or a range of 6 to 12
- 5 major hurricanes or a range of 3 to 7
- Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) of 155 or a range of 90 to 243
The ACE is a measure of the total energy generated by all tropical named cyclones during the season, the universal measure of the overall activity of a season.
The probabilities associated with the forecast include a 68% chance of an above-normal season (ACE greater than 152), a 24% chance of a near-normal season (ACE 75 to 152), and an 8% chance of a below-normal season (ACE less than 75).
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